Cheap-Toga
0x3fd470acd435508833245eaa586cff512357abb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.74
Total PnL
$-0.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Luka Doncic top scorer in NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2024$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be next UK prime minister?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLuka Doncic top scorer in NBA Finals? $1.00Jun 6, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $1.00Jun 6, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Michigan US Senate Election?$1.00Jun 6, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Biden both win nomination?$1.00Jun 6, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be next UK prime minister?$1.00Jun 6, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jun 6, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 07:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".