Angry-Lunchroom
0x3fe258f91e35960bfb9a741d0f0a7451ea8abb3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
131
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$753.05
Realised
$89.01
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 131- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
43334 shares @ 1.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$888.34
$315.21
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
749 shares @ 41.2¢·now 76.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$574.89
$265.97
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
900 shares @ 19.6¢·now 42.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$380.00
$203.83
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?
409 shares @ 25.6¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$247.16
$142.44
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
539 shares @ 10.2¢·now 16.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$88.18
$33.18
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?
417 shares @ 6.0¢·now 16.2¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$67.31
$42.31
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$60.00
$15.00
- NO
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.57
$8.57
- NO
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.10
$13.10
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
138 shares @ 14.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.66
$-1.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.17Jul 23, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.25Jul 23, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$51.14Jul 23, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?$7.41Jul 23, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?$5.76Jul 23, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?$4.07Jul 23, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?$4.81Jul 23, 01:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 20 2026?$4.26Jul 23, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$54.95Jul 23, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$26.48Jul 23, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?$12.71Jul 23, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$3.28Jul 22, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?$7.17Jul 22, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 20 2026?$5.53Jul 22, 02:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$102.20Jul 21, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?$25.94Jul 21, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?$103.00Jul 21, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$10.39Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $24.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.