Fatal-Characteristic
0x3fe64a81bc24993a3fbec46d72bcbc7891f16a66
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$15.91
Total PnL
$-1.80
Realised
$-0.91
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.30
$0.01
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.26
$-0.00
- NO
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.22
$-0.02
- NO
Will Siaosi Pōhiva be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Dec 19, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?$289.42Dec 9, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?$300.00Dec 7, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$308.45Dec 7, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$310.00Dec 7, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$313.43Dec 7, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.00Dec 7, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral AI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 7, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$315.00Dec 7, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 62-64%?$1.01Dec 5, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in May?$1.03Dec 5, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$1.04Dec 5, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 62-64%?$1.00May 25, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.00 in May?$1.00May 25, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00May 25, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Siaosi Pōhiva be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$1.00May 25, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.88May 25, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'King of Kings' make between $15-18m on its domestic opening weekend?$1.00May 25, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Noboa win by 8% or more?$1.01May 25, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 200% and 300% on April 30?$1.02May 25, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $56.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.