Nocturnal-Diaphragm
0x3fec940e85726420175d9099ab123e1f57f99f88
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-219.96
Realised
$-0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
5167 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
4942 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
2590 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.18
- YES
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
195 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-21.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
152 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.00Mar 9, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$14.27Mar 9, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$11.00Mar 8, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$6.00Mar 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$11.00Mar 8, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$4.86Mar 8, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.74Mar 8, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$9.73Mar 8, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.25Mar 8, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.75Mar 8, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$4.22Mar 8, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$15.00Mar 8, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 02:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".