Winding-Amount
0x3ff4cf013713ed6266fa4fdb6436e7a0e95db7c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
617 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$558.64
$58.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
505 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$505.04
$5.05
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
3546 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-38.01
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
2293 shares @ 62.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
587 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
523 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
419 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?
412 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
198 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$500.00Mar 11, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$500.00Mar 2, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$224.14Mar 2, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$825.65Feb 26, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$695.73Feb 18, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$480.21Feb 18, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$215.52Feb 18, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$105.00Feb 4, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Feb 4, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Feb 4, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$104.88Feb 4, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$112.00Feb 4, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?$50.00Feb 4, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$20.98Feb 3, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?$20.01Feb 3, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?$20.00Feb 3, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?$20.00Feb 3, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?$161.14Feb 3, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?$138.72Feb 3, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?$137.79Feb 2, 13:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $292.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.