Scary-Surge
0x3ffaea31c14861f297f3b173bff054715001219a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$39.45
Total PnL
$-2.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Evelyn Matthei win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
20 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$20.24
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 62°F or higher on November 14?
19 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$19.21
$0.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 10?
65 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?
41 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 62°F or higher on November 14?$19.00Nov 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 10?$2.00Nov 8, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$23.88Nov 8, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?$30.18Nov 8, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$23.67Nov 5, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?$30.00Nov 4, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $102,000 October 27-November 2?$25.10Nov 4, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$20.00Nov 2, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $102,000 October 27-November 2?$25.00Nov 1, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?$1.00Oct 29, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $17.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 13:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".