United-Alfalfa
0x3ffe0f919dc7bac333dd33c0d5204bf8d0b426f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$974.31
Realised
$610.91
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in July?
2085 shares @ 94.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.1K
$112.04
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in July?
1005 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.0K
$65.80
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?
1188 shares @ 83.6¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$878.80
$-114.57
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?
1500 shares @ 7.8¢·now 28.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$421.56
$304.93
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of July 27 2026?
200 shares @ 94.3¢·now 91.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$183.80
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?$2.99Jul 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?$9.70Jul 28, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?$32.18Jul 28, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?$68.99Jul 28, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?$16.92Jul 28, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$3.66Jul 28, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$6.10Jul 28, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$7.93Jul 28, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$4.27Jul 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$3.05Jul 28, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$5.49Jul 28, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$3.66Jul 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$3.05Jul 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$4.88Jul 28, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$7.93Jul 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$3.66Jul 28, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of July 27 2026?$95.00Jul 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of July 27 2026?$94.03Jul 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$6.46Jul 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of July 27 2026?$10.03Jul 28, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $58.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.