Firm-Ecumenist
0x4004824efa09521eeb70ad3550f0ea8f8e7f68f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$12.00
Total PnL
$-490.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the median home value in the US be between $420,000 and $425,000 by March 1?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$7.00
$2.03
- NO
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,020,000 and $1,040,000 by March 1?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$5.00
$1.10
- YES
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,130,000 and $1,230,000 by February 1?
1049 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-327.52
- SENTINELS
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 3 Winner
124 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-81.60
- YES
Will the median home value in New York City be greater than $600,000 by February 1?
111 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.32
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 3.5
66 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-44.72
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 4.5
31 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.28
- NO
Will the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $517,000 and $527,000 by March 1?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$103.35Feb 16, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs$0.00Feb 16, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.60Feb 16, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs$2.46Feb 16, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$53.00Feb 16, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$29.46Feb 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$15.27Feb 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 4.5$9.28Feb 15, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$54.00Feb 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 3 Winner$51.25Feb 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs$51.25Feb 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs$54.12Feb 14, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 3 Winner$17.35Feb 14, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$54.12Feb 14, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 3 Winner$13.00Feb 14, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs$30.35Feb 14, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs$52.27Feb 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $517,000 and $527,000 by March 1?$2.95Feb 14, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the DC Metro area be between $517,000 and $527,000 by March 1?$2.85Feb 14, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $420,000 and $425,000 by March 1?$4.97Feb 14, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $67.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 01:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".