Handmade-Close
0x4004d0396dc49199efda87ca9c29691cd787c5de
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$169.80
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
910 shares @ 5.5¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.49
$-19.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$29.17
$-70.83
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1243 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.02
$-31.98
- YES
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
439 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.71
$-5.29
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
250 shares @ 24.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.63
$-48.38
- YES
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$-1.00
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
1275 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.28
$-21.72
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
533 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.27
$0.27
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.40
$-3.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$8.00May 17, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$6.00May 13, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00May 11, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$10.00May 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$63.19May 10, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$102.80May 10, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$30.00May 10, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$41.93May 10, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 10, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?$20.00May 10, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$244.60May 8, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$135.35May 8, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$4.00May 5, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$20.71May 3, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?$10.68May 1, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3?$10.68May 1, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$10.00May 1, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$10.00Apr 28, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$10.00Apr 24, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$50.00Apr 19, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $341.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 22:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".