Crisp-Nougat
0x40092ce87cdc3602609e432e92212c628330ad5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-73.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3PM ET
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?
144 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-24.56
- YES
Will England win on 2026-03-27?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
28 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?
16 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1 shares @ 76.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.01May 15, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$5.00Apr 1, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $4B one day after launch?$27.05Mar 30, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $4B one day after launch?$28.83Mar 29, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$14.80Mar 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?$14.03Mar 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-03-27?$22.80Mar 27, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $50M one day after launch?$24.56Mar 27, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSwitzerland vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score$24.57Mar 27, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-03-27?$5.75Mar 27, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-03-27?$20.00Mar 27, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-03-27?$15.00Mar 27, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score$15.00Mar 27, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?$3.03Mar 27, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?$16.52Mar 27, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?$15.00Mar 27, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?$951.49Mar 25, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March?$952.45Mar 25, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?$14.65Mar 25, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?$15.00Mar 25, 12:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $86.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.