Fond-Birdbath
0x400bf1480a1a81403a0415935d6ae09497d26764
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-306.44
Realised
$-6.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
15867 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-37.59
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
1500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?
981 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
318 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-91.90
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
185 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-101.75
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
84 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
9 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$4.06Mar 12, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?$4.06Mar 11, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?$5.53Mar 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$5.28Mar 11, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$10.36Mar 11, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$101.75Jan 29, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$32.00Jan 5, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$20.00Jan 3, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$17.60Jan 2, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?$1.96Nov 30, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?$100.00Nov 30, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?$63.76Nov 30, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$95.56Nov 30, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?$16.00Nov 30, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$23.10Nov 30, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$15.40Nov 30, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$6.00Nov 13, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?$21.00Nov 9, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$5.00Nov 9, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.00Nov 9, 12:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $18.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.