Happy-Fate
0x4013ff6b37f8b4b12e51df0a04b55c85a8bfbe6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$125.02
Total PnL
$0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
45 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$45.05
$0.04
- NO
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$19.99
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$10.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$19.96Apr 20, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$10.00Apr 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$50.00Mar 16, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$45.00Mar 16, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $20 in February?$20.08Mar 16, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $800 in February?$30.12Mar 16, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$78.23Mar 16, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$78.00Feb 14, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in February?$30.00Feb 14, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $20 in February?$20.00Feb 14, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 29?$30.03Feb 14, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$33.03Feb 14, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $4.00 in January?$65.06Feb 14, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.00 in January?$65.00Jan 29, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 29?$30.00Jan 29, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$42.78Jan 29, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 18?$21.02Jan 29, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$30.03Jan 29, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$30.00Jan 16, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 18?$21.00Jan 16, 02:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $303.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 21:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 07:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.