0x4014610f45514d7a3ede96bb242a8b73c56c1089
0x4014610f45514d7a3ede96bb242a8b73c56c1089
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-104.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 12?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 12?
13000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 12?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
3500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
1083 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
1001 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$1.00Dec 21, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$1.00Dec 21, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$1.00Dec 21, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$1.00Dec 21, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$1.50Dec 21, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$1.25Dec 21, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$2.00Dec 21, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$2.00Dec 21, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?$5.00Dec 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by December 31?$1.00Dec 15, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by December 31?$6.00Dec 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$5.00Dec 14, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 13?$1.00Dec 12, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 13?$1.00Dec 12, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 13?$1.00Dec 12, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 12?$8.00Dec 12, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 12?$8.00Dec 12, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 12?$5.00Dec 12, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 12?$5.00Dec 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 12?$5.00Dec 12, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".