Reasonable-Sprag
0x401e57562f70acae6502465da8c8dddea09c1fd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on February 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on February 2?
718 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on February 25?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February 24?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on February 2?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 3?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 26?$5.35Feb 27, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on February 26?$20.94Feb 27, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 26?$0.02Feb 27, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 26?$2.01Feb 27, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on February 26?$1.20Feb 27, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 26?$5.30Feb 27, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on February 26?$5.40Feb 27, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 26?$5.40Feb 27, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 26?$7.03Feb 27, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 26?$6.00Feb 26, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 26?$6.00Feb 26, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on February 26?$5.34Feb 26, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 26?$7.19Feb 26, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 26?$5.29Feb 26, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be 76°F or higher on February 25?$5.29Feb 26, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on February 25?$5.29Feb 26, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 26?$0.11Feb 26, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on February 25?$5.30Feb 26, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 26?$28.00Feb 26, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 26?$1.89Feb 26, 02:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".