Sweaty-Scarecrow
0x401e85734b6abdf7a88e20cda1a8f91590f2d50b
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.42
Total PnL
$-291.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
7 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.42
$-0.78
- YES
Will Beto O'Rourke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
4960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast be the next CEO of X?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?$10.43May 15, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-14?$9.62May 14, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$9.57May 14, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$9.02May 11, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Mar 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beto O'Rourke be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$4.96Mar 2, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik$100.00Feb 20, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik$105.62Feb 20, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland$205.61Feb 20, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland$162.60Feb 20, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova$103.33Feb 20, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimova$100.00Feb 20, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Feb 20, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?$101.27Feb 18, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?$61.75Feb 18, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLQatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Zhizhen Zhang$121.75Feb 18, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Zhizhen Zhang$86.53Feb 18, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLQatar Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Andrey Rublev$86.53Feb 18, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Andrey Rublev$52.84Feb 18, 14:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $29.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".