Oval-Billboard
0x401e94803049bc85944d1679e8a3784202b7d037
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$94.09
Total PnL
$-10.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
94 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$94.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 10?
1070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 13?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?
937 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on December 30?
630 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 13?
373 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$94.00May 28, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$94.09May 28, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?$94.00May 23, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$94.09May 23, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?$94.00May 17, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?$94.09May 17, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?$94.00May 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 13?$1.07May 12, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?$95.10May 12, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8?$95.01May 7, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$95.19May 7, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$95.01May 3, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$95.09May 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$95.00Apr 26, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 22?$95.09Apr 26, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 22?$95.00Apr 22, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$94.09Apr 22, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$94.00Apr 17, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?$2.02Apr 17, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?$96.09Apr 17, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $85.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 06:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".