Dry-Mister
0x4022b95d3e7a9f804893cdff8efd423398a5d049
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$516.62
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$253.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2927 shares @ 34.2¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$395.21
$-604.80
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
517 shares @ 38.7¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.49
$-91.50
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
833 shares @ 18.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.92
$-137.08
- YES
Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
6514 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
3172 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
2516 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?
2381 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-499.99
- NO
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
1390 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-326.70
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?
1385 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-203.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$13.08Apr 8, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$41.11Apr 3, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$200.00Apr 3, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$24.05Mar 29, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$200.00Mar 17, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$100.00Mar 15, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$543.48Mar 1, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1000.00Feb 8, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?$1.6KFeb 8, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$51.62Feb 8, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?$1.4KFeb 8, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$916.66Feb 8, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$50.00Jan 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$150.00Jan 17, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$250.00Jan 17, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1000.00Jan 17, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?$0.00May 8, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?$0.00May 8, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francis Arinze be the next pope?$10.00May 8, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $258.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 21:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".