Simplistic-Halibut
0x40253d4e580e3a1e510316c95bafb69b920fad7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$10.25
Total PnL
$0.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$2.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$3.00Jul 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alain St Ange win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$5.00Jul 25, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?$2.00Jul 25, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$2.01Jul 25, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lazio win the Serie A?$2.02Jul 25, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$6.04Jul 25, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?$7.03Jul 25, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$5.70Mar 27, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League?$8.50Mar 27, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?$7.00Jan 2, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$2.00Jan 2, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio win the Serie A?$2.00Jan 2, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$0.00Jan 2, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$0.00Jan 2, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Saints win the NFC Championship?$6.47Dec 22, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?$5.31Dec 18, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Saints win the NFC Championship?$6.47Dec 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?$0.30Dec 16, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2024?$5.30Dec 16, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?$0.83Nov 21, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.