Nippy-Decoration
0x4025c1e9186f6bddc7e4da4eb6e5b5bed5bdde4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-23.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
27682 shares @ 36.1¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.4K
$-4.6K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
142857 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33177 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
29019 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
7001 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.5K
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?
5184 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.7K
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
4545 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.48Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.45Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.