Long-Term-Money
0x40395ec0ebc2316b082b19c43745c53341112e0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$54.13
Total PnL
$0.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?
20 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$19.73
$0.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?
17 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$17.37
$0.07
- NO
Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?
17 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$17.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?$19.69Apr 29, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?$17.30Apr 29, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.00 in April?$17.00Apr 29, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?$8.52Apr 29, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?$10.76Apr 29, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?$14.98Apr 29, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on April 24?$15.63Apr 29, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?$10.70Apr 26, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 26?$7.01Apr 26, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?$10.04Apr 26, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?$14.90Apr 26, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 26?$7.00Apr 26, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?$8.50Apr 26, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?$10.00Apr 25, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 24?$34.88Apr 25, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 24?$22.72Apr 24, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 24?$12.10Apr 24, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on April 24?$15.60Apr 23, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$10.54Apr 23, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on April 22?$11.99Apr 23, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $16.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 20:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.