Misguided-Chair
0x403a1661371cb2eea3164017aee8705f14cf376c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?
1889 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UNDER
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5
1646 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-585.00
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
1538 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?
1014 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
1000 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-280.00
- YES
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?
833 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score
100 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-22.67
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.57Jun 24, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.28Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$6.6KJun 23, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$410.93Jun 23, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$980.00Jun 23, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$224.00Jun 23, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$196.00Jun 23, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$1.5KJun 23, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$1.0KJun 23, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$2.0KJun 23, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5$203.80Jun 23, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5$392.51Jun 23, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score$15.89Jun 23, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score$6.94Jun 23, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$286.05Jun 23, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?$102.70Jun 23, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?$51.39Jun 23, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?$51.37Jun 23, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?$51.37Jun 23, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?$204.56Jun 23, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.6K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 23, 19:00 UTC → Jun 23, 18:59 UTC
- SELLPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5$6.6K@99¢Jun 23, 18:59 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$6.6K
1 trades
30d volume
$6.6K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5
$6.6K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $708.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 17:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.