Troubled-Period
0x40437988d23fe3a59b66c684f1a4fdc29eb005e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$81.19
Total PnL
$-380.83
Realised
$174.50
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3123 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$81.19
$28.18
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 26?
9455 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?
8327 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?
6794 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 26?
4701 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?
3685 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-21.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?
3557 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-28.48
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?
2802 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?
2075 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10?$6.99Jun 10, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$8.99Jun 10, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$1.09Jun 9, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$4.00Jun 9, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$2.10Jun 9, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?$7.26Jun 9, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$1.39Jun 9, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.38Jun 9, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$2.30Jun 8, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$2.30Jun 8, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$6.05Jun 8, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$1.63Jun 8, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$1.02Jun 8, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$2.40Jun 8, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$2.40Jun 8, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$1.56Jun 8, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8?$2.58Jun 8, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$2.45Jun 8, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$3.50Jun 8, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?$10.22Jun 8, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.