Plump-Donation
0x40451fc878e8f977ce11c93891e5a2c5efb3b19b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.53
Realised
$-3.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on August 4?
728 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.64
- YES
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
710 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
604 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.26
- NO
Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?
480 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?
407 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
387 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
380 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
372 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 20% and 25%?
352 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Solana reach $290 October 6-12?
220 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$0.39Mar 29, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$4.29Mar 28, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?$9.28Mar 25, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.86Mar 13, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?$10.26Nov 20, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$9.50Nov 11, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mayhem by Lady Gaga be the top Spotify album for 2025?$179.28Oct 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mayhem by Lady Gaga be the top Spotify album for 2025?$179.64Oct 24, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $290 October 6-12?$4.62Oct 7, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$2.64Sep 27, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on August 4?$3.64Aug 4, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?$2.13Jul 25, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits?$1.1KJun 23, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 20% and 25%?$2.40Jun 21, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Porto win the FIFA Club World Cup?$9.87Jun 7, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win the FIFA Club World Cup?$9.88Jun 6, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?$2.30Jun 1, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$19.90May 30, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$19.90May 30, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?$99.60May 22, 18:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $433.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.