Agile-Cohort
0x4047a465c4908f674d54cbd404b6fc1aa8b0568f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$44.69
Total PnL
$-8.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$20.00
$7.00
- YES
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$20.00
$17.40
- NO
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.69
$1.69
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
60 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 29?
40 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
37 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?
20 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$13.00Mar 13, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$2.60Mar 13, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?$1.61Mar 13, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?$2.08Mar 13, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$3.00Feb 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 19?$1.00Feb 18, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 20?$1.00Feb 18, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?$3.75Feb 8, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$3.20Feb 3, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 2?$1.84Feb 2, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$5.00Feb 2, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 2?$1.12Feb 2, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 2, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Feb 1, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.02Feb 1, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Feb 1, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Feb 1, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Feb 1, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$5.00Feb 1, 10:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.02Feb 1, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 10:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.