Grand-Punishment
0x4049386b46ab3f7f9ad1a78f4367d2c9800d9267
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?
382 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 12?
23 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- NO
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
17 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
14 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
13 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
12 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 13?
4 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? (April 19)$0.67Apr 13, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?$0.63Apr 13, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 19)$1.44Apr 13, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$5.91Apr 13, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?$1.45Apr 13, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?$5.71Apr 13, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 13?$7.35Apr 13, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?$1.00Apr 12, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 12?$1.28Apr 12, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?$1.00Apr 12, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?$0.79Apr 12, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 12?$2.00Apr 12, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 12?$1.00Apr 12, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on April 13?$1.50Apr 12, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on April 12?$4.91Apr 12, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12?$4.66Apr 12, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$10.00Apr 11, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$2.00Apr 11, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 53°F or below on April 11?$1.53Apr 11, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12?$4.00Apr 11, 19:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.