Mixed-Constellation
0x4049e37165d348c60f87c717e20da76bdbf913b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?
88 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-8.75
- NO
Will Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?
79 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.52
- NO
Coinbase #1 finance app on Friday?
31 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2024$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
22 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-6.37
- NO
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Coinbase top 10 app on Friday?
17 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2024$0.00
$-8.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris attend presidential inauguration?$5.52Nov 13, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoinbase #1 finance app on Friday?$8.50Nov 13, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoinbase top 10 app on Friday?$8.50Nov 13, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$7.50Nov 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $15.17Nov 12, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?$14.85Nov 12, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$6.37Nov 12, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELL$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?$4.26Nov 12, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$2.10Nov 12, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on Israel by Nov 8?$0.00Nov 10, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $16.30Nov 8, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?$13.00Nov 8, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "Putin" in her speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 7, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "Russia" or "Russian" in her speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 7, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?$8.75Nov 6, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?$5.00Nov 6, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Russia" or "Russian" in her speech after the election is called?$5.00Nov 6, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Putin" in her speech after the election is called?$5.00Nov 6, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala publicly concedes by noon Wednesday? $23.75Nov 6, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel by Nov 8?$5.00Nov 6, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $8.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 11:09 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.