Gregarious-Encounter
0x404c583ceba17bbd4ac844fef8a6bad8895e9315
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$443.50
Total PnL
$-27.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
387 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$387.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?
56 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$56.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
128 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-28.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?$56.00Feb 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1,300 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$387.00Feb 28, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$22.04Feb 28, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$23.02Feb 28, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?$359.08Jan 29, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$22.00Jan 29, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 29?$380.00Jan 29, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 5?$422.42Jan 29, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$23.00Jan 4, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 5?$422.00Jan 4, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$22.70Jan 4, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$23.17Jan 4, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 9?$413.41Jan 4, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$23.00Dec 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 9?$413.00Dec 9, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$20.04Dec 9, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$26.03Dec 9, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 24?$374.37Dec 9, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$26.00Nov 23, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 24?$374.00Nov 23, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $219.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.