Nocturnal-Warmth
0x404fafb745c2025e96d6cc2aa6990840fd0c842b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-120.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?
1013 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
667 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
135 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?
116 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NUGGETS
Lakers vs. Nuggets
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Clippers
67 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$4.56Feb 24, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?$20.00Feb 23, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win Eurovision 2025?$3.00Feb 23, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$3.00Feb 23, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Nuggets$20.00Feb 23, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$20.00Feb 20, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?$1.00Feb 20, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$30.00Feb 17, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?$159.32Feb 16, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$36.91Feb 11, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Suns$2.00Feb 9, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Clippers$6.00Feb 9, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$53.00Feb 5, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024?$0.00Jan 3, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Cavaliers$0.00Jan 3, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$0.00Jan 3, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sonic launch before 2025?$0.00Jan 3, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a US Government shutdown? $0.00Jan 3, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ripple hit in $3.00 in December?$33.65Jan 3, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 19:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".