Ethical-Processing
0x4056be6c460c5c85e3fe0e8398d792d62212ed2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$7.00
Total PnL
$-19.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55 shares @ 10.9¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.92
$-1.07
- NO
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
7206 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
4770 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
4760 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
4760 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2470 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
2402 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2380 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.00Mar 23, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.04Mar 23, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$5.00Mar 23, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$4.99Feb 3, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.01Feb 3, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$1.01Feb 3, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro trial scheduled by January 31?$1.01Feb 3, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?$1.02Feb 3, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine hits Moscow by January 15?$1.03Feb 3, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?$1.04Feb 3, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.05Feb 3, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?$1.06Feb 3, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$11.04Feb 3, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk change his X profile picture by January 31?$960.00Feb 3, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$1.01Jan 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on a NATO member by March 31?$1.00Jan 12, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $32.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".