Short-Nutmeg
0x405cc1052160998db127c146591536dfe572fec1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-93.28
Realised
$-22.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
2333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
1556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
357 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
339 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
257 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.29
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
161 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$0.35Mar 31, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.23Mar 30, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$4.50Mar 15, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.50Mar 15, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.55Mar 15, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$6.60Mar 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$11.00Mar 12, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.00Mar 8, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.00Mar 8, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$5.00Mar 8, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$26.15Mar 8, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$21.85Mar 3, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$23.70Mar 3, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?$0.15Mar 2, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7.67Mar 1, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.04Mar 1, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 14:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 22:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.