Private-Disclaimer
0x405e11118baa275a86115739554fddd921ac5afe
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on April 12?
1010 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 1.0-2.0%?
524 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- VIEIRA
Harrison vs. Vieira
3 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$101.79Apr 15, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$102.10Apr 15, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on April 12?$1.01Apr 12, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.00Feb 2, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.00Jan 15, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.00Jan 15, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 1.0-2.0%? $1.87Nov 12, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$0.01Nov 7, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?$0.01Nov 7, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarrison vs. Vieira$0.30Oct 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPereira vs. Rountree Jr.$0.50Oct 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?$1.00Oct 5, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $16.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 08:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".