Scarce-Felony
0x40600ec2d6fe6b8e6fba81519d9a082804895181
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$432.10
Total PnL
$-31.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$144.57
$44.57
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
158 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$81.39
$-0.79
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
196 shares @ 30.7¢·now 28.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$55.62
$-4.38
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
37 shares @ 54.4¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.99
$6.99
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
119 shares @ 33.5¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.09
$-14.91
- YES
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.57
$2.57
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
476 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.38
$-2.62
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
59 shares @ 34.0¢·now 24.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.24
$-5.76
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.36
$3.36
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
62 shares @ 16.1¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.51
$0.51
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.57May 31, 12:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Netherlands be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.43May 29, 23:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.00May 25, 00:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24?$37.69May 24, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24?$20.28May 24, 20:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.62May 21, 12:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $15.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 23:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".