Speedy-Nibble
0x40601b813190cee07d18c1a3c67ee3399bdfc1c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$948.28
Total PnL
$374.32
Realised
$140.96
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
227 shares @ 66.6¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$183.87
$32.67
- YES
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?
509 shares @ 16.1¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$162.76
$80.93
- NO
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?
235 shares @ 28.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$116.33
$50.52
- YES
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
284 shares @ 21.2¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$102.27
$41.98
- NO
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?
558 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Sep 24, 2026$58.63
$8.38
- YES
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
109 shares @ 30.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$49.78
$16.99
- YES
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?
110 shares @ 25.7¢·now 42.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$46.41
$18.17
- YES
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?
250 shares @ 12.8¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$42.50
$10.50
- YES
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in June?
335 shares @ 14.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$35.20
$-14.80
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
170 shares @ 12.6¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$28.13
$6.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?$68.17Jul 29, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?$85.27Jul 29, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$132.49Jul 29, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$131.40Jul 29, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$5.28Jul 29, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$162.56Jul 29, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$100.61Jul 29, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?$5.76Jul 28, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US lose jobs in July?$1.15Jul 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina's monthly inflation in July 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?$32.26Jul 28, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$53.32Jul 28, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US lose jobs in July?$26.81Jul 28, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?$73.63Jul 28, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$22.44Jul 28, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?$3.00Jul 28, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?$0.72Jul 28, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US lose jobs in July?$1.57Jul 27, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill three people dissent the July Fed decision?$33.40Jul 27, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two people dissent the July Fed decision?$18.73Jul 27, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US lose jobs in July?$45.08Jul 27, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $56.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 14:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.