Oblong-Riser
0x40604cb1f958c03bea0b18aa43e4cb0d62f33ec3
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$111.1K
Total PnL
$2.2K
Realised
$522.32
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
46193 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$46.2K
$579.58
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
37171 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$35.6K
$312.98
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?
19700 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$19.0K
$285.51
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?
9369 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$8.8K
$187.37
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
750 shares @ 33.3¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$604.13
$354.38
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 3 2026?
500 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$495.00
$7.50
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026?
240 shares @ 56.2¢·now 76.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$182.40
$47.60
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026?
140 shares @ 60.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$94.50
$10.50
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 3 2026?
98 shares @ 83.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$90.49
$9.29
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?
116 shares @ 21.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$37.18
$12.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$35.4KAug 2, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 3 2026?$81.75Aug 2, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 3 2026?$25.17Aug 2, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of August 3 2026?$487.99Aug 2, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 3 2026?$137.16Aug 2, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 3 2026?$85.34Aug 2, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?$18.7KAug 2, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?$8.6KAug 2, 02:19 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.24Aug 1, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$7.69Aug 1, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$0.00Jul 31, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?$7.0KJul 31, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of July 27 2026?$285.00Jul 31, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in July?$2.0KJul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in July?$3.7KJul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?$5.9KJul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $44 in July?$657.44Jul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in July?$2.2KJul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$3.9KJul 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$1.4KJul 31, 23:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$48.4K
Trades
2
Buy share
100%
Window
May 19, 13:40 UTC → Jul 14, 14:14 UTC
- BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of June 29 2026?$9.1K@100¢Jul 2, 20:26 UTC
- BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$5.1K@94¢Jun 22, 15:12 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
5 ledger trades
Top market concentration
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 14?
$24.0K · 50% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $5.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.