Selfish-Grabbag
0x406165421ed6efd61ae84905336f43f29b3f038a
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$2.22
Total PnL
$-17.53
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$2.22
$0.01
- YES
Will Trump say "Hitler" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?
3211 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?
1550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hitler" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?$9.00Nov 5, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $130 in October?$0.00Nov 3, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMCrimean bridge hit before November?$9.99Nov 3, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $130 in October?$0.07Oct 30, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrimean bridge hit before November?$0.20Oct 30, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrimean bridge hit before November?$9.84Oct 30, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill NY governor remove Eric Adams from office?$0.99Oct 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NY governor remove Eric Adams from office?$0.99Oct 15, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$3.10Oct 11, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.52Oct 11, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.54Oct 4, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.90Oct 4, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$10.65Oct 4, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.64Oct 2, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.65Oct 2, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$0.63Oct 2, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$0.63Oct 2, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.53Sep 29, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?$2.21Sep 29, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$10.57Sep 27, 22:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 04:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".