Hot-Glockenspiel
0x40664dca39baee16802fcbcd0e32c4991194bccb
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.06
Total PnL
$0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Cracker of the Year?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2024$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$1.30
$0.30
- TTU
Will Texas Tech beat Arkansas by 3 or more points?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Cracker of the Year?$1.00Dec 27, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Texas Tech beat Arkansas by 3 or more points?$1.00Dec 27, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk speak at Trump's Pennsylvania rally Saturday?$0.00Dec 27, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$0.00Dec 27, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMMSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $0.00Dec 27, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$1.01Dec 27, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $210 on November 22?$1.05Dec 27, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Texas A&M beat Missouri?$1.75Dec 27, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$1.00Nov 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$1.00Nov 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$1.00Nov 30, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$1.00Nov 30, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $1.00Nov 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $210 on November 22?$1.00Nov 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk speak at Trump's Pennsylvania rally Saturday?$1.00Oct 5, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Texas A&M beat Missouri?$1.00Oct 5, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference? $0.00Aug 27, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $165 on July 26?$0.00Aug 27, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMMrBeast fires Kris in July?$0.00Aug 4, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMTrump says "mog" at Bitcoin Conference?$0.00Aug 4, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 12:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 27, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".