Actual-Cacao
0x40685b09b9586002bd0749ffb8fd99cbb1cdf40c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$214.99
Total PnL
$-288.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
143 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$142.79
$82.79
- YES
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
247 shares @ 11.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$30.89
$2.41
- YES
Will France be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
79 shares @ 25.4¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$18.52
$-1.48
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$18.18
$-1.82
- YES
Will Sweden score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
460 shares @ 4.3¢·now 1.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$4.60
$-15.40
- YES
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-05-24?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Harry Kane: 1+ goals
1251 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
233 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIvan Perišić: 1+ goals$20.50Jun 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals$10.30Jun 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$20.53Jun 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$61.04Jun 17, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia?$20.53Jun 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$51.18Jun 17, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$20.26Jun 17, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBruno Fernandes: 1+ goals$30.60Jun 17, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$50.36Jun 17, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$57.76Jun 17, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?$200.00Jun 17, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Any Other Score?$32.14Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$24.10Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan?$20.50Jun 16, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMarcel Sabitzer: 1+ goals$20.37Jun 16, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?$20.54Jun 16, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$30.28Jun 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$9.19Jun 16, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$10.09Jun 16, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-16?$20.10Jun 16, 05:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $22.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.