Orange-Submitter
0x406dea975496a20cdb740cf67395a247760dad34
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-146.61
Realised
$-1.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
656 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-56.45
- ARSENAL
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)
250 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2025$0.00
$-52.50
- TEXAS A&M
Texas vs. Texas A&M
60 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-21.60
- YES
Will Real Madrid beat Liverpool?
40 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2024$0.00
$-8.80
- NO
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-04?
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$50.05Nov 4, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$50.00Oct 30, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$58.36Oct 29, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYChampions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)$52.50May 6, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLArsenal wins the Premier League?$57.30Feb 9, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2024-12-04?$5.40Dec 4, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas vs. Texas A&M$10.50Nov 30, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas vs. Texas A&M$11.10Nov 30, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool beat Real Madrid?$9.70Nov 27, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool beat Real Madrid?$8.50Nov 27, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid beat Liverpool?$8.80Nov 27, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$3.11Nov 26, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$8.99Nov 26, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$9.65Nov 26, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$0.97Nov 25, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$0.04Nov 25, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$1.95Nov 25, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$32.22Nov 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$1.56Nov 25, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLArsenal wins the Premier League?$46.67Nov 24, 15:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $31.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 15:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".