Required-Competition
0x407402c5791833e04fb7ced52eb845f6212f6fc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$14.09
Total PnL
$-25.59
Realised
$-25.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$2.29
$0.00
- NO
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.51
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.27
$0.01
- NO
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$1.19
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
1 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$1.15
$0.05
- NO
Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$1.13
$0.01
- NO
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$1.12
$0.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.10
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?$109.18Feb 22, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "woke" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.22Feb 22, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "FEMA" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.24Feb 22, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.41Feb 22, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAston Villa wins the Premier League?$1.20Feb 20, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTottenham Hotspur wins the Premier League?$109.30Feb 20, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.4KFeb 20, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'inflation' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$1.10Feb 20, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.00Feb 20, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.9KFeb 20, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$13.5KFeb 20, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win Eurovision 2025?$1.19Feb 20, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?$1.12Feb 20, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?$1.26Feb 20, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?$1.09Feb 20, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karla Sofía Gascón win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$1.00Feb 20, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$1.12Feb 20, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$12.3KFeb 20, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$13.5KFeb 20, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "FEMA" during their Feb 18 interview?$1.24Feb 20, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".