Antique-Disdain
0x40741dd5f24e9b00e78df52148a23e5e9671babe
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$4.51
Total PnL
$-18.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.51
$-0.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
8000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
4080 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
3180 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2490 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2240 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2208 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2180 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.75Mar 27, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)$1.00Mar 27, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.00Mar 27, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 3?$1.00Mar 27, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.00Mar 27, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)$1.00Feb 3, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.00Feb 3, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$1.00Feb 3, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on February 3?$1.00Feb 3, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.01Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 462 Million subscribers by January 31?$1.01Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.02Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.03Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.04Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)$1.05Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.07Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?$10.00Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in January?$106.00Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$1.09Jan 15, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $390.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".