Primary-Length
0x4074ec71437954c4f36eaf532c8f130e73700a67
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-809.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET
172305 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-172.30
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?
9996 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 5?
6144 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
640 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Egypt by October 31?
345 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
50 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$100.00Feb 2, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 5?$100.00Feb 2, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$100.00Feb 2, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$100.00Feb 2, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET$400.00Oct 28, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET$106.88Oct 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET$54.63Oct 28, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET$7.50Oct 28, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET$3.00Oct 28, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET$3.00Oct 28, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET$5.00Oct 28, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET$10.00Oct 28, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET$10.00Oct 28, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET$205.00Oct 28, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET$45.76Oct 28, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET$57.68Oct 28, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 7AM ET$2.50Oct 28, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET$50.00Oct 28, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET$10.00Oct 28, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 28, 4AM ET$0.05Oct 28, 09:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $27.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".