Grandiose-Statin
0x4075633761a097a060b63cd96cc00cafcc0acd19
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
154
Open notional
$159.11
Total PnL
$-7.88
Realised
$19.20
Win rate
93%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 154- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 6?
15 shares @ 87.4¢·now 86.3¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$12.94
$-0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 7?
10 shares @ 95.2¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$9.62
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 7?
10 shares @ 79.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$8.22
$0.37
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?
10 shares @ 9.1¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$7.35
$6.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?
11 shares @ 64.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$7.04
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 7?
10 shares @ 79.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$6.95
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?
10 shares @ 47.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$6.45
$1.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 6?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$4.53
$0.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 7?
5 shares @ 83.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$4.22
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?
5 shares @ 84.8¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$4.10
$-0.14
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Helsinki on July 7?$5.00Jul 5, 10:54 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 7?$5.00Jul 5, 10:45 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Helsinki on July 7?$5.00Jul 5, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 7?$3.85Jul 5, 10:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Singapore on July 7?$5.00Jul 5, 10:18 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Jeddah on July 7?$5.00Jul 5, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 7?$3.85Jul 5, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on July 7?$4.96Jul 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on July 7?$4.96Jul 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 7?$3.80Jul 5, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 7?$2.70Jul 5, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?$2.35Jul 5, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?$2.40Jul 5, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 7?$4.60Jul 5, 10:00 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?$4.09Jul 5, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?$3.05Jul 5, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?$3.30Jul 5, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?$3.35Jul 5, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 7?$4.50Jul 5, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 7?$4.15Jul 5, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 08:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 10:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.