Youthful-Potato
0x407865e3b3a6d70510dd5b572b85605294a5f727
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.73
Total PnL
$-87.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.75Jul 15, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.10Jul 15, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.10Jul 15, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.03Jul 15, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.41Jul 15, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.09Jun 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.09Jun 4, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.03Jun 4, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on May 9?$1.17Jun 4, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.47Jun 4, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on May 9?$1.17May 8, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.39May 8, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.35May 8, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 8?$1.40May 8, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?$2.12May 8, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.11May 8, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 8?$1.40Apr 7, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?$2.10Apr 7, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.60Apr 7, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.18Apr 7, 02:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $458.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 12:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 05:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.