Chilly-Necktie
0x4078d18bcf1e301442185ec22d31c76870862b71
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$30.79
Total PnL
$-0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$8.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$6.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
6 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$5.93
$0.08
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 13?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
3 shares @ 96.4¢·now 87.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.73
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.85Apr 7, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$3.00Apr 7, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at <$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?$6.00Apr 7, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 13?$5.00Apr 7, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?$3.00Apr 7, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 March 30-April 5?$5.00Apr 7, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Mavericks$1.2KApr 7, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Mavericks$549.50Apr 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$8.00Apr 5, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 5?$3.00Apr 5, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 March 30-April 5?$5.00Apr 5, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$11.11Apr 5, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.00Nov 17, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$11.00Nov 17, 08:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $55.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 10:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.