Upset-Machinery
0x407b316ac5ed6a4135ca5257ce6659fb5ee26722
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-912.44
Realised
$-8.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 25?
250 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-118.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6?
196 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-82.91
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
150 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 14?
122 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.65
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?
100 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1PM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?$411.00Mar 3, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?$88.00Feb 26, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?$192.82Feb 21, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.87Feb 13, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$197.20Feb 13, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?$74.78Feb 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?$178.00Feb 11, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?$4.00Feb 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?$20.00Feb 11, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.25Feb 11, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.00Feb 11, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.80Feb 11, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?$51.75Feb 11, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?$31.25Feb 11, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?$100.00Feb 11, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.88Feb 11, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?$5.11Feb 10, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?$4.17Feb 10, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?$5.86Feb 9, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $37.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 00:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 17:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".