Ignorant-Dysfunction
0x407f8ac38d7c83426f36cc72b973e6af892188ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$13.67
Total PnL
$-62.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.13
$3.13
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
69 shares @ 4.5¢·now 4.2¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$2.87
$-0.22
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.05
$-7.95
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
267 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.40
$-15.10
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
262 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.13
$-15.77
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4 shares @ 39.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-1.46
- YES
Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 5?
108 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on February 7?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Apr 22, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?$2.00Apr 2, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$1.52Apr 2, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$9.30Mar 29, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$2.16Mar 23, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$3.06Mar 20, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$10.00Mar 19, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$2.73Mar 18, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$1.11Mar 18, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$3.63Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$1.00Mar 9, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$1.00Mar 9, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.54Mar 4, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$1.00Mar 3, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$2.00Mar 3, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on February 26?$1.00Feb 26, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on February 25?$4.55Feb 25, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on February 25?$1.32Feb 25, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 11:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".