Talkative-Consul
0x4083e9af69ef865978d1d9bc62b90500c4d954ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$524.12
Total PnL
$-10.14
Realised
$-0.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
208 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2021$207.76
$45.64
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022?
102 shares @ 73.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2022$101.53
$26.53
- NO
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2021$99.63
$8.95
- NO
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022?
40 shares @ 68.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2022$39.86
$12.71
- YES
(OLD MARKET - See new market) Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
69 shares @ 36.2¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$28.12
$2.97
- YES
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
545 shares @ 23.6¢·now 4.4¢·exp Feb 22, 2022$23.77
$-104.75
- NO
(OLD MARKET - See new market) Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
39 shares @ 64.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.45
$-1.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15?$37.64Dec 17, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15?$0.00Dec 17, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWho will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election?$67.43Dec 17, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?$0.00Sep 16, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021?$128.52Sep 16, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week?$0.00Aug 17, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWhat will the price of $ETH be on August 11?$33.48Aug 17, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil or Spain win gold in Men’s Soccer at the 2020 Olympics? $90.68Aug 11, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021?$252.12Aug 7, 00:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021?$14.52Aug 4, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?$191.56Aug 4, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals?$0.05Jul 31, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals?$192.34Jul 31, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?$0.00Jun 24, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?$0.00Jun 24, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWhat will the price of $ETH be on June 22?$0.00Jun 24, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?$0.03Jun 24, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?$199.87Jun 24, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 22:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".