Standard-Colonisation
0x4088bad3a299ca01c4d558655e092aa3377344f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$154.20
Total PnL
$78.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$90.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?
48 shares @ 20.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$47.95
$37.95
- YES
Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$6.25
$5.25
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?
263 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Tether insolvent in 2025?
218 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times August 1–August 8?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Megaquake by August 31?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?
11 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8?$2.00Aug 4, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?$10.00Aug 2, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?$10.00Aug 2, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?$10.00Aug 2, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by August 31?$10.00Aug 2, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $112K on August 1?$0.00Aug 2, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 120–134 times August 1–August 8?$10.00Aug 1, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?$2.00Aug 1, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $112K on August 1?$10.00Jul 31, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 31?$0.00Jul 31, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 31?$0.00Jul 31, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 31?$0.00Jul 31, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 31?$0.00Jul 31, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 31?$39.47Jul 31, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?$1.00Jul 31, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?$1.00Jul 31, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?$10.00Jul 31, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether insolvent in 2025?$10.00Jul 31, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 31?$30.00Jul 31, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $8.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 09:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.