Expert-Measurement
0x408dde79c1749ba12d542ff599d1cbec18f74379
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 21?
3249 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
87 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 21?$7.00Apr 21, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 4?$631.90Mar 7, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 4?$630.00Mar 4, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$120.10Mar 4, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$107.00Feb 9, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$4.00Jan 16, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$102.15Jan 16, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$99.00Nov 12, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 11, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$2.00Sep 5, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?$28.40Sep 5, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?$28.00May 21, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$25.64May 21, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$20.00Apr 18, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?$14.47Apr 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?$11.00Mar 21, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,400 on January 24?$0.00Mar 21, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,400 on January 24?$71.00Jan 21, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$0.00Jan 21, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$11.00Dec 25, 03:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $73.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 04:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.