Glittering-Chestnut
0x408f67e9a5b7d474646236378665e3e9957f60b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$98.83
Total PnL
$-44.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
102 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.83
$-1.17
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of February?
200 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?
30 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$100.00May 16, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$100.77May 16, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$100.40Apr 11, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$100.40Apr 11, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$100.00Mar 6, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$100.00Mar 6, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?$97.99Mar 1, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$9.88Feb 21, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February?$48.85Feb 21, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$57.04Feb 21, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$0.00Feb 21, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLOpinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$92.40Feb 21, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$211.84Feb 21, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$25.00Feb 21, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?$0.00Feb 16, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?$0.00Feb 16, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Spurs$200.00Feb 8, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$18.85Feb 7, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Celtics$0.00Feb 7, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.00Feb 7, 06:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $50.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".